Algorithmic Trading + Behavioral Finance
Maksim Baradziuk , Independent Algorithmic Trading Consultant and Quantitative Researcher serving international financial institutions Los Angeles, USAAbstract
The study is devoted to identifying and analyzing the synergistic interaction between the theoretical principles of behavioral finance and applied methodologies for developing high-r eturn algorithmic strategies in the digital asset segment. In conditions where the efficient market hypothesis demonstrates limitations in its applicability, especially in environments with increased volatility and underdeveloped infrastructure—such as cryptocurrency markets and decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystems—behavioral biases emerge as important determinants of market inefficiency. The paper presents a framework that combines the targeted exploitation of cognitive patterns, including the disposition effect and the phenomenon of herd behavior, with the application of advanced technological solutions. Based on four original case studies—ranging from the development of a proprietary backtesting mechanism incorporating elements of chaotic process modeling to the construction of a predictive risk management system for DeFi—the practical implementation of the proposed approach is demonstrated. The results obtained confirm the superiority of the hybrid architecture over traditional methods: from effectively reducing crash risk in DeFi carry trade strategies to maintaining portfolio resilience under market stress conditions and generating ultra-high returns (CAGR exceeding 200% with MDD of 30%). The study’s findings reinforce the validity of the adaptive markets hypothesis and confirm the applied value of the synthetic methodology for modern algorithmic trading. The information reflected in the study will be of interest to asset managers, quantitative fund specialists, and researchers focused on creating next-generation algorithms.
Keywords
algorithmic trading, behavioral finance, prospect theory, herd behavior, risk management, decentralized finance (DeFi), backtesting, chaos modeling, portfolio rebalancing, cryptocurrencies.
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