Articles | Open Access | DOI: https://doi.org/10.37547/tajiir/Volume08Issue03-03

Assessing the Impact of Climate Change Induced Flooding on Human Security in Nigeria’s Middle Belt

Augustine I. Wonor , City University, Cambodia
Gloria Chigbu , Anchor University Lagos, Nigeria
Maryjane Y. Oghogho , City University, Cambodia
O.M.C Osazuwa , City University, Cambodia

Abstract

Climate change has exacerbated flooding in Nigeria’s Middle Belt, resulting in a complex human security crisis that extends beyond environmental degradation. The issue is rooted in the ongoing failure of governance systems and local institutions to address the socio-economic and health impacts of recurring floods, which consistently undermine livelihoods and human well-being. This study analyses the impact of flooding on various dimensions of security, including economic, food, health, environmental, personal, community, and political aspects within the region. Utilising the UNDP (1994) Human Security framework, this study employs a qualitative design that involves document analysis of thirty-six institutional reports, policy papers, and peer- reviewed studies from 2020 to 2025. Thematic analysis was conducted to identify recurring patterns and interconnections among the impacts of flooding. The findings indicate that flooding adversely affects livelihoods, disrupts food systems, facilitates the spread of disease, degrades ecosystems, displaces populations, fractures communities, and highlights significant governance deficiencies. Vulnerability is characterised by intersectionality, with women, children, and the elderly facing increased risks, while responses are often fragmented and reactive. The research indicates that flooding caused by climate change negatively impacts human development and socio-political stability in the Middle Belt. The recommendations include, first, enhancing community-based adaptation and early warning systems; second, investing in resilient infrastructure and social protection; and third, incorporating human security principles into national and local climate policies.

Keywords

Climate Change, Flooding, Human Security

References

Adelekan, I. O., & Fashona, A. (2023). Mapping and geo-visualisation of flood susceptible administrative states in Nigeria: A terrain modeling approach. International Journal of Academic Research in Environment & Geography, 9(1), 49–64.

Ajayi, O. O. (2025). Flooding in Nigeria: An assessment of laws and institutions. Beijing Law Review, 16(2), 105–122.

Akinkuolie, T. A., Ogunbode, T. O., & Adekiya, A. O. (2025). Resilience to climate-induced food insecurity in Nigeria. Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, 4, Article 1490133. https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fsufs.2024.1490133/full

Ani, K. J., Anyika, V. O., & Mutambara, E. (2022). The impact of climate change on food and human security in Nigeria. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, 14(3), 245–260. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCCSM-03-2022-0034

Channels Television. (2022, October 10). Floods ravage Middle Belt, government response criticized. https://www.channelstv.com

Daily Trust. (2023, October 5). Flooding in Nasarawa: Schools shut, crops destroyed. https://www.dailytrust.com

Esri. (2023). Geospatial technology supports early flood warning in Nigeria. https://www.esri.com/about/newsroom/app/uploads/2023/11/Nigeriaflooding.pdf

Federal Ministry of Environment. (2012). National Climate Change Policy and Response Strategy. https://climatechange.gov.ng/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/NCCPRS-2012-Final.pdf

Federal Ministry of Environment. (2021). National Climate Change Policy for Nigeria: 2021– 2030. https://leap.unep.org/en/countries/ng/national-legislation/national-climate-change-policy-nigeria-2021-2030

Hillert, L. (2025). Multi-level approaches to sustainable peace in Nigeria’s Middle Belt. Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue. https://weatheringrisk.org/sites/default/files/document/EvaluatingClimateSensitivePeaceProgrammingNigeria_0.pdf

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (2023). Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_SYR_LongerReport.pdf

International Organization for Migration. (2024). Joint post-flood assessment report – FCT. https://dtm.iom.int/reports/nigeria-joint-post-flood-assessment-report-fct-30-december-2024

International Organization for Migration. (2025). Flood situation report – Adamawa State. https://www.iom.int

International Organization for Migration. (2025). Flood situation report – Yobe State. https://www.iom.int

Leadership News. (2025, August 18). Flood risk in Nigeria: Experts call for urgent action. https://leadership.ng

National Emergency Management Agency. (2015). Annual Flood Preparedness Report. Abuja, Nigeria: NEMA.

National Emergency Management Agency. (2018). Flood Risk Management Strategy. Abuja, Nigeria: NEMA.

National Emergency Management Agency. (2022). Flood Situation Report and Response Plan.

Abuja, Nigeria: NEMA.

NiMet. (2023). Agrometeorological Bulletin No. 9, March 2023. Nigerian Meteorological Agency. https://nimet.gov.ng/downloader?file=admin/uploads/1708099295977-Bulletin%203rd%20Dekad%20March%202023.pdf

NiMet. (2023). Annual Climate Review for Nigeria. Nigerian Meteorological Agency. https://nimet.gov.ng/publications/climate-review-2023

Oluyemi, O. A., Daramola, I. O., & Oyewole, O. O. (2025). Climate change as a threat multiplier in fragile states: A cross-examination of Nigeria and Iraq. International Journal of Multidisciplinary and Current Educational Research, 7(5), 47–62.

Onum, F. (2025). Mitigating the impact of flooding in Nigeria. ResearchGate. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/394429423

Otorkpa, O. J., Onifade, A. A., & Otorkpa, C. O. (2024). Poor mental health among Nigeria’s displaced young people. BMJ, 386, e081458. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj-2024-081458

Oyabambi, A., Gambo, N., Bwese, T. D., & Azok, I. J. (2025). Impact of climate change on food and human security in Nigeria. British Journal of Marketing Studies, 13(1), 55–72.

Premium Times. (2022, October 15). Benue floods displace thousands, destroy farmlands. https://www.premiumtimesng.com

Punch Newspapers. (2024, November 2). Climate change and flooding: Nigeria’s unpreparedness. https://punchng.com

Sahara Reporters. (2023, October 25). Flood victims in Taraba demand relief materials. https://saharareporters.com

Stromsta, R. (2024). Climate change, disasters, insecurity, and displacement in Nigeria.

Environmental Migration Portal. https://environmentalmigration.iom.int/blogs/climate-change-disasters-insecurity-and-displacement-impact-flooding-youth-marginalization-and-human-mobility-nigeria

The Guardian Nigeria. (2023, September 20). Kogi floods: Residents cry for help as river overflows. https://guardian.ng

UN News. (2025). Deadly flooding in Nigeria displaces thousands. https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/06/1163951

UNDP, NEMA, & National Bureau of Statistics. (2023). Nigeria flood impact, recovery and mitigation assessment report 2022–2023. https://www.undp.org/nigeria/publications/nigeria-flood-impact-recovery-and-mitigation-assessment-report-2022-2023

UNDP. (1994). Human Development Report 1994. Oxford University Press.

UNDP. (2023). Nigeria flood impact, recovery and mitigation assessment report 2022–2023. https://www.undp.org/nigeria/publications/nigeria-flood-impact-recovery-and-mitigation-assessment-report-2022-2023

UNHCR. (2024). Climate change fuels deadly conflict in Nigeria’s Middle Belt. https://www.unhcr.org/news/stories/climate-change-fuels-deadly-conflict-nigeria-s-middle-belt

United Nations Children’s Fund. (2022). Nigeria floods: Over 2.5 million people affected, including 1.5 million children. https://www.unicef.org/nigeria/press-releases/nigeria-floods-over-25-million-people-affected-including-15-million-children

United Nations Development Programme. (2023). Nigeria flood impact, recovery and mitigation assessment report. https://www.undp.org/nigeria/publications/nigeria-flood-impact-recovery-and-mitigation-assessment-report-2022-2023

United Nations Development Programme. (2024). Climate adaptation and human security in Nigeria. https://www.undp.org/nigeria

United Nations Economic Commission for Africa. (2024). Climate change and development in West Africa. https://www.uneca.org/publications/climate-change-and-development-west-africa

United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees. (2024). Climate change fuels deadly conflict in Nigeria’s Middle Belt. https://www.unhcr.org/news/stories/climate-change-fuels-deadly-conflict-nigeria-s-middle-belt

United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs. (2024). Nigeria floods – Situation report No. 3. https://www.unocha.org/publications/report/nigeria/nigeria-floods-situation-report-no-3-15-october-2024

Vanguard. (2021, September 12). Makurdi floods: Over 10,000 displaced in one week. https://www.vanguardngr.com

WHO. (2023). Cholera outbreak in Nigeria linked to flooding. World Health Organization. https://www.who.int/nigeria/news/detail/2023-cholera-outbreak-nigeria

World Bank. (2021). Climate risk country profile: Nigeria. https://climateknowledgeportal.worldbank.org/sites/default/files/2021-07/15918-WB_Nigeria%20Country%20Profile-WEB.pdf

World Meteorological Organization. (2024). State of the climate in Africa 2023. https://public.wmo.int/en/resources/library/state-of-climate-africa-2023

Download and View Statistics

Views: 0   |   Downloads: 0

Copyright License

Download Citations

How to Cite

Augustine I. Wonor, Gloria Chigbu, Maryjane Y. Oghogho, & O.M.C Osazuwa. (2026). Assessing the Impact of Climate Change Induced Flooding on Human Security in Nigeria’s Middle Belt. The American Journal of Interdisciplinary Innovations and Research, 8(3), 23–39. https://doi.org/10.37547/tajiir/Volume08Issue03-03